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Morlautern vs Ahrweiler - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Edet B.
27' Event
Schehl D.
55' Event
Forster M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 game between Morlautern and Ahrweiler finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morlautern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Morlautern
35%
Draws
46%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ahrweiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morlautern come out ahead of Ahrweiler on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Morlautern Clean Sheet 14%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morlautern Ahrweiler
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.56 0.86
Goals Conceded 3 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Morlautern vs Ahrweiler
6:0
Apr 1, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Ahrweiler vs Morlautern
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morlautern Compare

Top Goalscorer Schehl D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edet B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Ahrweiler Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morlautern 35 / 100
Ahrweiler 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morlautern Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahrweiler Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahrweiler's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Morlautern scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Morlautern has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morlautern VS Ahrweiler
1.71 Goals Scored 0.75
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morlautern

(Home)
31 May
Morlautern
3 : 3
Eisbachtal
17 May
Morlautern
0 : 3
Karbach
14 May
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
3 : 0
Morlautern
10 May
Auersmacher
4 : 0
Morlautern
03 May
Diefflen
1 : 1
Morlautern
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Ahrweiler

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Pirmasens
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
12 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
09 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 2
Cosmos Koblenz
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