Sport Picks
Mornag vs Menzel Bourguiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Tunisia Cup 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Mornag in this Tunisia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mornag
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Menzel Bourguiba lately — more wins on the board than Mornag.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Mornag taking it.
- Menzel Bourguiba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mornag, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mornag Clean Sheet 16%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mornag | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Mornag vs Menzel Bourguiba
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mornag 84 / 100
Menzel Bourguiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mornag Menzel Bourguiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mornag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Menzel Bourguiba has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Mornag found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Menzel Bourguiba has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mornag VS Menzel Bourguiba
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mornag
(Home) 22 Mar
Mornag
1 : 2 Olympique Beja
08 Feb
Mornag
3 : 2 Hassi Amor
06 Apr
Mornag
0 : 1 Etoile Sahel
02 Feb
Mornag
2 : 1 Menzel Bourguiba
22 Mar
Mornag
1 : 2 Olympique Beja
08 Feb
Mornag
3 : 2 Hassi Amor
06 Apr
Mornag
0 : 1 Etoile Sahel
02 Feb
Mornag
2 : 1 Menzel Bourguiba
Menzel Bourguiba
(Away) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
05 Apr
US Tataouine
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
28 Feb
Chebba
4 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika -
TBD -
Kalaa 1
Djelma 2
Moknine 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
TBD -
ES Fahs -
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport -
TBD -
Chebba 0
Msaken 2
Badr El Ain -
TBD -
ES Jerba 0
JS Kairouan 2
Sfax Railways 1
Ariana 0
EM Mahdia 1
AS Marsa 3
Mornag -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 2
Korba 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Hamma -
Ettadhamen -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Manouba -
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 1
Rades 1
TBD -
Nahdha Jammal -
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 0
Megrine 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Hamam-Sousse 2
Oued Ellil 2
Espoir Rogba 0
Om Laarayes -
TBD -
TBD -
Widad Sers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla -
TBD -
TBD -
Aigle Teboulba -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
Hammam-Lif 1
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasserine 1
Kerkennah 0
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
Menzel Temim -
TBD -
AS Agareb 0
Jendouba Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/32-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika 0
Djelma 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier 5
ES Fahs 0
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport 0
Msaken 1
Badr El Ain 2
JS Kairouan 5
Sfax Railways 3
AS Marsa 2
Mornag 2
Menzel Bourguiba 1
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss 2
AS Hamma 0
Ettadhamen 1
JS Manouba 2
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 2
Nahdha Jammal 0
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam 1
Megrine 0
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 1
Oued Ellil 0
Om Laarayes 1
Widad Sers 0
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla 3
Aigle Teboulba 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
Hammam-Lif 1
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Kasserine 6
Sportive Kebili 0
Menzel Temim 0
Jendouba Sport 6
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/16-finals
Monastir 2
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Djelma 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 0
US Tataouine 0
Club Africain 1
Olympique Beja 0
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 1
Sfax Railways 0
Mornag 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Khniss 0
JS Manouba 1
Stade Tunisien 1
Sidi Bouzid 0
Ben Guerdane 1
CA Bizertin 0
Zriba-Hammam 0
CS Sfaxien 5
Gafsa 2
Hamam-Sousse 1
Om Laarayes 1
Soliman 2
Bembla 2
Hammam-Lif 4
Esperance Tunis 6
Kasserine 0
Jendouba Sport 0
AS Gabes 1
Metlaoui 0
Zarzis 2
1/8-finals
Monastir 5
Djelma 0
Club Africain 2
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 0
Etoile Sahel 1
JS Manouba 0
Stade Tunisien 2
Ben Guerdane 1
CS Sfaxien 0
Gafsa 1
Soliman 0
Hammam-Lif 0
Esperance Tunis 4
AS Gabes 0
Zarzis 2
Quarter-finals
Monastir 3
Club Africain 0
Etoile Sahel 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 3
Gafsa 2
Esperance Tunis 3
Zarzis 1
Semi-finals
Monastir 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Final
Stade Tunisien 0
Esperance Tunis 1
