Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mornar Bar vs Buducnost

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Soussi A.
33'
Osman S.
45' Event
Ljutica V.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Mornar Bar and Buducnost finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mornar Bar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mornar Bar
30%
Draws
47%
Buducnost
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buducnost

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mornar Bar come out ahead of Buducnost on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 28%
Buducnost Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Buducnost
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Buducnost
2:1
May 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Buducnost vs Mornar Bar
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Buducnost
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Buducnost vs Mornar Bar
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Buducnost
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Soussi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ljutica V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Buducnost Compare

Top Goalscorer Bojovic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 34 / 100
Buducnost 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Buducnost

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buducnost Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mornar Bar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Buducnost has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Buducnost
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
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Buducnost

(Away)
18 Sept
Buducnost
4 : 1
Petrovac
14 Sept
Mladost DG
0 : 2
Buducnost
10 Sept
Buducnost
3 : 0
Jezero
05 Sept
Otrant
2 : 0
Buducnost
30 Aug
Buducnost
0 : 0
Bokelj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 9 5 1 3 15:10 16
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 9 3 4 2 9:7 13
7 Mladost DG 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
8 Jezero 9 2 3 4 9:15 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)