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Mornar Bar vs Jedinstvo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Obradovic O.
3' Event
Sekulic B.
Penalty Missed
37' Event
Yao Y.

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar in this Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mornar Bar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mornar Bar
30%
Draws
51%
Jedinstvo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jedinstvo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jedinstvo haven't matched Mornar Bar's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 16%
Jedinstvo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Jedinstvo
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Jedinstvo
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jedinstvo vs Mornar Bar
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Jedinstvo
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jedinstvo vs Mornar Bar
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jedinstvo vs Mornar Bar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denkovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jedinstvo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 31 / 100
Jedinstvo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Jedinstvo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Jedinstvo let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mornar Bar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Jedinstvo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
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Jedinstvo

(Away)
04 Oct
Berane
1 : 2
Jedinstvo
30 Sept
FK Podgorica
1 : 1
Jedinstvo
26 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Budva
21 Sept
Zeta
2 : 3
Jedinstvo
16 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Iskra Danilovgrad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutjeska 36 22 6 8 61:36 72
2 Mornar Bar 36 20 9 7 51:29 69
3 Petrovac 36 13 12 11 44:36 51
4 Decic 36 14 9 13 43:45 51
5 Buducnost 36 13 9 14 36:35 48
6 Mladost DG 36 14 4 18 49:54 46
7 Arsenal Tivat 36 12 10 14 36:46 46
8 Jezero 36 10 11 15 38:48 41
9 Bokelj 36 8 12 16 38:48 36
10 Jedinstvo 36 9 8 19 30:49 35
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)