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Mornar Bar vs Jezero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Topolica, Bar
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Martinovic I.
21'
Dasic J.
26' Event
Redzepagic I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva Crnogorska Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mornar Bar
35%
Draws
32%
Jezero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mornar Bar lately — more wins on the board than Jezero.
  • Win probability leans Mornar Bar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Jezero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Jezero
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Jezero
3:3
Aug 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Mornar Bar
0:0
May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Mornar Bar
0:2
May 6, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Jezero vs Mornar Bar
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar vs Jezero
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Soussi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yao Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jezero Compare

Top Goalscorer Redzepagic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tucevic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 67 / 100
Jezero 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Jezero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jezero conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Mornar Bar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Jezero
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
Page 1 of 7

Jezero

(Away)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1
Bokelj
10 Sept
Buducnost
3 : 0
Jezero
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)