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Mornar Bar vs Smederevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Glavinic D.

AI Match Summary

Smederevo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mornar Bar
20%
Draws
56%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Smederevo at 1.72 per game, Mornar Bar at 1.38.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mornar Bar Smederevo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Mornar Bar vs Smederevo
0:1
Feb 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Mornar Bar vs Smederevo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mornar Bar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Glavinic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mornar Bar 36 / 100
Smederevo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mornar Bar Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mornar Bar's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Smederevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mornar Bar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mornar Bar VS Smederevo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mornar Bar

(Home)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
02 Oct
Mladost DG
1 : 5
Mornar Bar
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
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Smederevo

(Away)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
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