Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morne des Esses vs Club Colonial

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Colonial in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Colonial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Morne des Esses
15%
Draws
34%
Club Colonial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morne des Esses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Club Colonial have won more games recently than Morne des Esses.
  • Model gives Morne des Esses a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 15%
Club Colonial Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morne des Esses Club Colonial
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Morne des Esses
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Club Colonial
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morne des Esses 35 / 100
Club Colonial 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morne des Esses Club Colonial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Morne des Esses scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Club Colonial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Club Colonial's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morne des Esses VS Club Colonial
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morne des Esses

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

Club Colonial

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)