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Morne des Esses vs Espoir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Morne des Esses Logo

Morne des Esses

2 - 3
FT
Espoir Logo

Espoir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Morne des Esses and Espoir finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espoir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Morne des Esses
15%
Draws
0%
Espoir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morne des Esses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Espoir have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Morne des Esses are scoring more at 1.14.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Morne des Esses taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 16%
Espoir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morne des Esses Espoir
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Espoir vs Morne des Esses
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Espoir
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morne des Esses 84 / 100
Espoir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morne des Esses Espoir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morne des Esses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Espoir lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Morne des Esses scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Espoir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morne des Esses VS Espoir
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morne des Esses

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

Espoir

(Away)
03 Oct
Espoir
0 : 2
Club Peleen
12 Sept
Assaut
5 : 0
Espoir
06 Jun
Emulation
4 : 1
Espoir
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
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