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Morne des Esses vs Golden Star

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morne des Esses in this Trophee Gerard Janvion matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morne des Esses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Morne des Esses
33%
Draws
40%
Golden Star
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Golden Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Golden Star lately — more wins on the board than Morne des Esses.
  • Win probability leans Golden Star's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 20%
Golden Star Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morne des Esses Golden Star
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Golden Star
4:1
Jan 14, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Morne des Esses
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morne des Esses 28 / 100
Golden Star 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morne des Esses Golden Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Morne des Esses scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Golden Star let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Morne des Esses has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morne des Esses VS Golden Star
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RC Saint Joseph26215064:1094
2Franciscain26203354:1689
3Golden Lion26154751:2775
4Club Colonial26152944:3073
5Samaritaine26117849:2766
6Club Peleen261141140:4363
7Inter de Sainte-Anne26971033:3160
8Trenelle26710937:4157
9Golden Star26941332:4457
10Morne des Esses26861228:4056
11Espoir26841430:4954
12Aiglon Lamentin26631733:7447
13Robert26551622:4746
14Emulation26261818:5638