Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U17 vs Mali U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Sat, Apr 19, 2025
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Baha Z.
23'
Fane S.
23'
Fane S.

AI Match Summary

Morocco U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Morocco U17
20%
Draws
29%
Mali U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U17 haven't matched Morocco U17's recent run of results.
  • Morocco U17 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Morocco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Morocco U17 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 12%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 Mali U17
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.78 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Cup U17
Morocco U17 vs Mali U17
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Mali U17
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 World Cup U17
Mali U17 vs Morocco U17
1:0
May 14, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Mali U17
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 35 / 100
Mali U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 Mali U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U17 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Mali U17 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Morocco U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS Mali U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 7

Mali U17

(Away)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Senegal U17 0
Burkina Faso U17 6
Zambia U17 1
Tunisia U17 1
Mali U17 2
Semi-finals
Morocco U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 0
Burkina Faso U17 0
Mali U17 2
Final
Morocco U17 1
Mali U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 1