Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U17 vs Senegal U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Thu, May 28, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Wagner M.
38'
Ellaky A.
63'
Faye S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Morocco U17
15%
Draws
53%
Senegal U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal U17 haven't matched Morocco U17's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Morocco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U17, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Senegal U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 Senegal U17
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 22 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.02 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Senegal U17
1:2
Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco U17 vs Senegal U17
0:0
May 19, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Senegal U17 vs Morocco U17
2:1
Apr 15, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Senegal U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer El Aoud I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Senegal U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 30 / 100
Senegal U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 Senegal U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U17 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (42 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Morocco U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Senegal U17 conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS Senegal U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
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Senegal U17

(Away)
02 Jun
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Algeria U17
17 May
Ghana U17
0 : 1
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco U17 1
Cameroon U17 0
Senegal U17 2
Mali U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Egypt U17 4
Tanzania U17 4
Algeria U17 3
Semi-finals
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Egypt U17 0
Tanzania U17 1
Final
Senegal U17 2
Tanzania U17 1
Morocco U17 0
Egypt U17 2