Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ennair A. In: Hamony M.
Out: Ennair A.
46'
Sub
Tshaka X. In: Amato G.
Out: Tshaka X.
54'
Sub
Boufandar A. In: Katiba M.
Out: Boufandar A.

AI Match Summary

Morocco U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Morocco U17
6%
Draws
4%
South Africa U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco U17 lately — more wins on the board than South Africa U17.
  • Model gives Morocco U17 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Morocco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Morocco U17 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 16%
South Africa U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 South Africa U17
Matches Played 40 34
Wins 21 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 3.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs South Africa U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

South Africa U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 84 / 100
South Africa U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 South Africa U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa U17 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Attacking prowess: Morocco U17 scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Morocco U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 VS South Africa U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 8

South Africa U17

(Away)
20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3
Ghana U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2
Algeria U17
14 May
Senegal U17
1 : 2
South Africa U17
15 Nov
Japan U17
3 : 0
South Africa U17
09 Nov
Italy U17
3 : 1
South Africa U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal U1733007:09
2Algeria U1731113:44
3Congo U1730212:32
4Somalia U1730121:61
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco U1732014:26
2Nigeria U1732014:36
3South Africa U1731025:73
4Zambia U1731024:53
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mali U1722003:06
2Burkina Faso U1721012:23
3Cameroon U1720021:40
4South Sudan U1700000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams