Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U20 vs Sierra Leone U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 30 June Stadium, Cairo
Mon, May 12, 2025
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Essadak H.
31'
Turay A.
53'
El Haddad S.

AI Match Summary

Morocco U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morocco U20
20%
Draws
33%
Sierra Leone U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone U20 haven't matched Morocco U20's recent run of results.
  • Morocco U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Morocco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sierra Leone U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U20 Sierra Leone U20
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.6 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Morocco U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Boumassaoudi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Sierra Leone U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U20 77 / 100
Sierra Leone U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U20 Sierra Leone U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco U20 scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Sierra Leone U20 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Morocco U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U20 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U20

(Home)
06 Oct
Libya U20
3 : 2
Morocco U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Morocco U20
3 : 1
Algeria U20
27 Sept
Tunisia U20
0 : 0
Morocco U20
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 7

Sierra Leone U20

(Away)
12 May
Morocco U20
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
06 May
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 4
South Africa U20
03 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
30 Apr
Sierra Leone U20
4 : 1
Egypt U20
27 Apr
Zambia U20
0 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Africa U20 1
D.R. Congo U20 0
Nigeria U20 1
Senegal U20 0
Morocco U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 0
Ghana U20 2
Egypt U20 3
Semi-finals
South Africa U20 1
Nigeria U20 0
Morocco U20 1
Egypt U20 0
Final
South Africa U20 1
Morocco U20 0
Nigeria U20 2
Egypt U20 1