Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U23 vs Iraq U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Al Hamawi A.

AI Match Summary

Iraq U23 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iraq U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Morocco U23
30%
Draws
0%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morocco U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Morocco U23 at 1.67 per game, Iraq U23 at 1.29.
  • Model gives Morocco U23 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Morocco U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco U23 vs Iraq U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hamawi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U23 85 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Iraq U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Morocco U23 scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Iraq U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U23 VS Iraq U23
0.8 Goals Scored 1.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U23

(Home)
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
26 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 0
Wales U21
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Iraq U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
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