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Morocco vs Benin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025 Grand Stade, Fès
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Roche Y.
45'
Dossou J.
45' Event
El Kaabi A.
Assist: Masina A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Morocco and Benin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morocco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morocco
30%
Draws
23%
Benin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morocco come out ahead of Benin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Morocco's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Morocco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Benin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Benin
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 28 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.06 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco vs Benin
1:0
Jul 5, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Benin
1:2
Nov 13, 2014 Friendly International
Morocco vs Benin
6:1
Aug 20, 2008 Friendly International
Morocco vs Benin
3:1
Jan 31, 2004 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Benin
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer El Kaabi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Benin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 95 / 100
Benin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Benin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Benin let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Morocco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Benin
2.63 Goals Scored 0.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1
Mali
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
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Benin

(Away)
06 Oct
Argentina
3 : 0
Benin
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
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