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Morocco vs Gambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Sun, Jan 7, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morocco host Gambia in the Friendly International 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Morocco at 2 goals for, 0.48 against; Gambia at 1.68 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Morocco have won 2 to Gambia's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.09 - 1.18) back Morocco to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morocco
20%
Draws
33%
Gambia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morocco come out ahead of Gambia on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Morocco taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morocco Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Gambia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 22 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco vs Gambia
0:0
Jun 12, 2019 Friendly International
Morocco vs Gambia
0:1
Jun 15, 2013 World Championship
Morocco vs Gambia
2:0
Jun 2, 2012 World Championship
Gambia vs Morocco
1:1
Apr 21, 2000 World Championship
Morocco vs Gambia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 76 / 100
Gambia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Gambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Gambia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Morocco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Gambia
2.38 Goals Scored 1.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1
Mali
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
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Gambia

(Away)
29 Sept
Ghana
2 : 4
Gambia
25 Sept
Gambia
2 : 1
Somalia
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2
Gambia
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