Sport Picks

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Morocco vs Gambia

World World

Friendly International 2024
Sun, Jan 7, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morocco host Gambia in the Friendly International 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Morocco at 2 goals for, 0.5 against; Gambia at 1.55 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Morocco have won 2 to Gambia's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.38 - 0.63) back Morocco to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Morocco
15%
Draws
21%
Gambia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morocco come out ahead of Gambia on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Morocco Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Gambia
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 26 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco vs Gambia
0:0
Jun 12, 2019 Friendly International
Morocco vs Gambia
0:1
Jun 15, 2013 World Championship
Morocco vs Gambia
2:0
Jun 2, 2012 World Championship
Gambia vs Morocco
1:1
Apr 21, 2000 World Championship
Morocco vs Gambia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 31 / 100
Gambia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Gambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Gambia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Morocco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gambia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Gambia
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Gambia

(Away)
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2
Gambia
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Gambia
10 Oct
Gambia
3 : 4
Gabon
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