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Morocco vs United Arab Emirates

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
El Berkaoui K.
Assist: El Moussaoui H.
38'
Saadane M.
63'
Sub
Rashid M. In: Saleh A.
Out: Rashid M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Morocco
15%
Draws
42%
United Arab Emirates
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates haven't matched Morocco's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Morocco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Morocco Clean Sheet 24%
United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco United Arab Emirates
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 22 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 2 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.46 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Morocco vs United Arab Emirates
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer El Berkaoui K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Mahdioui A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

United Arab Emirates Compare

Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 37 / 100
United Arab Emirates 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco United Arab Emirates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: United Arab Emirates conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Morocco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS United Arab Emirates
2.25 Goals Scored 1.4
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
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United Arab Emirates

(Away)
27 Sept
Bahrain
0 : 3
United Arab Emirates
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
15 Dec
Morocco
3 : 0
United Arab Emirates
12 Dec
Algeria
1 : 2
United Arab Emirates
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1
Kuwait
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palestine 1
Saudi Arabia 2
Jordan 1
Iraq 0
Morocco 1
Syria 0
Algeria 1
United Arab Emirates 2
Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia 0
Jordan 1
Morocco 3
United Arab Emirates 0
Final
Jordan 2
Morocco 3
Saudi Arabia 0
United Arab Emirates 0