Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco W vs Mali W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Olympique de Rabat, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jraidi I.
Assist: Ouzraoui S.
24'
Benzina N.
37'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Morocco W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Morocco W
15%
Draws
26%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali W haven't matched Morocco W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Morocco W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Morocco W Clean Sheet 68%
Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco W Mali W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Mali W
1:1
Jul 18, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Morocco W vs Mali W
3:1
Dec 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Mali W
1:0
Sep 19, 2021 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Mali W
0:0
Jun 14, 2021 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Mali W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jraidi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chapelle K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Mali W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco W 41 / 100
Mali W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco W found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Mali W let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Morocco W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco W VS Mali W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco W

(Home)
13 Oct
Morocco W
:
Congo W
09 Oct
Congo W
:
Morocco W
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Morocco W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
Page 1 of 6

Mali W

(Away)
08 Oct
Benin W
3 : 1
Mali W
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco W 3
Mali W 1
Algeria W 0
Ghana W 1
Nigeria W 5
Zambia W 0
South Africa W 1
Senegal W 0
Semi-finals
Morocco W 2
Ghana W 1
Nigeria W 2
South Africa W 1
Final
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 3
Ghana W 2
South Africa W 1