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Moroka Swallows vs Durban City

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2017/2018
Sat, Feb 10, 2018
1 - 3
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Fileccia A.
34' Event
Mashego T.
98' Event
Fileccia A.

AI Match Summary

Durban City in this Nedbank Cup 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Durban City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Moroka Swallows
39%
Draws
30%
Durban City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Durban City have won more games recently than Moroka Swallows.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moroka Swallows Clean Sheet 21%
Durban City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moroka Swallows Durban City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2018 Nedbank Cup
Moroka Swallows vs Durban City
1:3
May 1, 2015 Betway Premiership
Moroka Swallows vs Durban City
1:0
Nov 26, 2014 Betway Premiership
Durban City vs Moroka Swallows
1:2
Feb 28, 2014 Betway Premiership
Durban City vs Moroka Swallows
1:0
Sep 21, 2013 Betway Premiership
Moroka Swallows vs Durban City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moroka Swallows Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashego T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Durban City Compare

Top Goalscorer Fileccia A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kunene M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moroka Swallows 32 / 100
Durban City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moroka Swallows Durban City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moroka Swallows scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Durban City conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Moroka Swallows has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Durban City
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Durban City-
TBD-
TBD-
Moroka Swallows-
Happy Wanderers-
TBD-
Pretoria U.0
Royal Eagles FC3
Richards Bay2
Witbank1
TBD-
Bloemfontein Young Tigers-
Supersport Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Royal AM-
Cape Town City-
TBD-
TBD-
Bidvest Wits-
Cape Town Spurs-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando Pirates-
EC Bees-
TBD-
TBD-
Mariveni United-
Cape Town All Stars2
Marumo Gallants0
TBD-
Mamelodi Sundowns-
Kaizer Chiefs-
TBD-
TBD-
Golden Arrows-
Highlands2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila1
Mbombela0
Stellenbosch FC3
Steenberg United-
TBD-
TBD-
Orbit College-
Platinum Stars-
TBD-
TBD-
Baroka-
Ubuntu Cape Town FC2
Jomo Cosmos1
TBD-
Polokwane City-
Mthatha Bucks2
Uthongathi1
TBD-
AmaZulu-
Chippa Utd.-
TBD-
TBD-
Phiva Young Stars-
Super Eagles3
Black Leopards0
TBD-
Free State Stars-
1/16-finals
Durban City3
Moroka Swallows1
Happy Wanderers0
Royal Eagles FC1
Richards Bay5
Bloemfontein Young Tigers0
Supersport Utd1
Royal AM2
Cape Town City1
Bidvest Wits0
Cape Town Spurs0
Orlando Pirates2
EC Bees3
Mariveni United1
Cape Town All Stars0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Kaizer Chiefs3
Golden Arrows0
Highlands0
Stellenbosch FC1
Steenberg United3
Orbit College1
Platinum Stars0
Baroka1
Ubuntu Cape Town FC3
Polokwane City2
Mthatha Bucks2
AmaZulu3
Chippa Utd.2
Phiva Young Stars0
Super Eagles1
Free State Stars2
1/8-finals
Durban City2
Royal Eagles FC1
Richards Bay1
Royal AM3
Cape Town City1
Orlando Pirates0
EC Bees1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Kaizer Chiefs2
Stellenbosch FC1
Steenberg United0
Baroka2
Ubuntu Cape Town FC3
AmaZulu2
Chippa Utd.1
Free State Stars2
Quarter-finals
Durban City2
Royal AM1
Cape Town City1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Kaizer Chiefs1
Baroka0
Ubuntu Cape Town FC1
Free State Stars2
Semi-finals
Durban City3
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Kaizer Chiefs0
Free State Stars2
Final
Durban City0
Free State Stars1