Sport Picks
Morpeth vs Warrington Rylands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Burton J.
36'
36'
Wood H.
43'
43'
Waring G.
AI Match Summary
Warrington Rylands in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrington Rylands.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warrington Rylands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warrington Rylands lately — more wins on the board than Morpeth.
- Model gives Warrington Rylands a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Warrington Rylands have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 20%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morpeth | Warrington Rylands |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Warrington Rylands
0:4
Oct 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Morpeth
4:3
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Morpeth
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Warrington Rylands
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Warrington Rylands
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morpeth Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Warrington Rylands Compare
Top Goalscorer Waring G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Burton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morpeth 16 / 100
Warrington Rylands 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morpeth Warrington Rylands
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Rylands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Morpeth's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Warrington Rylands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Morpeth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Morpeth VS Warrington Rylands
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Morpeth
(Home) 12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1 Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1 Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 4
Warrington Rylands
(Away) 06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1 AFC Emley
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1 Stockton
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Warrington Rylands
15 Aug
Bury FC
1 : 0 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
