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Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2025 João Vilela Stadium, Morrinhos
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nunes R.
25' Event
Thiaguinho
60' Event
Gabriel Venancio

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Morrinhos
35%
Draws
19%
Gremio Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Morrinhos have won more games recently than Gremio Anapolis.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Morrinhos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Gremio Anapolis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos
0:1
Jul 30, 2025 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
2:2
May 21, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Morrinhos
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
4:0
Feb 13, 2022 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Venancio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Matielo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 77 / 100
Gremio Anapolis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Gremio Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morrinhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Anapolis let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Morrinhos scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Morrinhos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Gremio Anapolis
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
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Gremio Anapolis

(Away)
27 Sept
Trindade
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
09 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 1
Sao Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anapolina 14 7 7 0 20:7 28
2 Centro Oeste 14 7 4 3 18:10 25
3 Rio Verde 14 5 7 2 15:12 22
4 Trindade 14 6 3 5 22:17 21
5 Tupy FC 14 3 7 4 17:17 16
6 Gremio Anapolis 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
7 Morrinhos 14 2 6 6 10:16 12
8 Ipora 14 1 4 9 13:32 7
Promotion - Goiano (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 2025 (Main)