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Morrinhos vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morrinhos in this Goiano 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Morrinhos
30%
Draws
47%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Verde lately — more wins on the board than Morrinhos.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 16%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Rio Verde
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.11 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Morrinhos
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Morrinhos
1:1
May 25, 2025 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Rio Verde
2:0
Sep 23, 2019 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Rio Verde
3:0
Aug 25, 2019 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Morrinhos
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 36 / 100
Rio Verde 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Rio Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Morrinhos's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Morrinhos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Verde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Rio Verde
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
30 Aug
Morrinhos
1 : 3
Tupy FC
26 Aug
Trindade
2 : 2
Morrinhos
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Rio Verde

(Away)
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
05 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 1
Mineiros
01 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 0
Trindade
26 Aug
Goiania
1 : 0
Rio Verde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaragua 11 6 2 3 15:8 20
2 Anapolis 11 5 4 2 19:12 19
3 Rio Verde 11 5 2 4 22:16 17
4 Morrinhos 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
5 Jataiense 11 3 4 4 13:21 13
6 Aparecida EC 11 3 3 5 15:16 12
7 Trindade 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
8 America GO 11 2 5 4 7:14 11
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2020 (Main)