Sport Picks
Mortagua FC vs Alverca B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alverca B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Alverca B haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alverca B's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 16%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mortagua FC | Alverca B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Alverca B
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Alverca B
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Mortagua FC
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Mortagua FC
1:2
Nov 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Alverca B
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mortagua FC 23 / 100
Alverca B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mortagua FC Alverca B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alverca B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mortagua FC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Alverca B let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Mortagua FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Mortagua FC VS Alverca B
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mortagua FC
(Home) 01 Nov
Mortagua FC
0 : 0 Alverca B
25 Oct
Naval 1893
0 : 2 Mortagua FC
11 Oct
Mortagua FC
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Leca
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1 Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Mortagua FC
0 : 0 Alverca B
11 Oct
Mortagua FC
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Leca
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1 Fazendense
16 Aug
Mortagua FC
3 : 1 GD Os Nazarenos
Page 1 of 3
Alverca B
(Away) 01 Nov
Mortagua FC
0 : 0 Alverca B
25 Oct
Alverca B
3 : 0 Nogueirense
11 Oct
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 1 Alverca B
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0 Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0 Alverca B
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Mortagua FC
0 : 0 Alverca B
11 Oct
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 1 Alverca B
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0 Alverca B
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1 Alverca B
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1 Alverca B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas CAD | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortagua FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Fatima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | 1 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)
