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Morton vs Inverness

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Cappielow Park, Greenock
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bavidge A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Black D. In: O’Toole J.
Out: Black D.
46'
Sub
Mcluckie B. In: Murphy L.
Out: Mcluckie B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Morton
20%
Draws
64%
Inverness
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inverness come out ahead of Morton on wins alone.
  • Morton are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Inverness arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Morton Clean Sheet 17%
Inverness Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Inverness
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Morton vs Inverness
0:1
May 3, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Morton
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Championship
Morton vs Inverness
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 Championship
Inverness vs Morton
0:0
Dec 12, 2023 Championship
Morton vs Inverness
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 36 / 100
Inverness 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Inverness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Inverness lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Morton found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Inverness
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
08 Aug
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0
Morton
Page 1 of 6

Inverness

(Away)
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1
Inverness
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams