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Morton vs Raith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Cappielow Park, Greenock
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rowe J.
Assist: Turner K.
26'
Croker P.
31'
Sub
Robertson J. In: Easton D.
Out: Robertson J.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Morton and Raith finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Raith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Morton
15%
Draws
37%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Morton haven't matched Raith's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Morton's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Morton Clean Sheet 16%
Raith Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Raith
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.74 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Raith
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Morton
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Raith
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Morton
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Raith
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morton Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrity M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oakley G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 41 / 100
Raith 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Morton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Morton found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Raith
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
03 Nov
Morton
0 : 1
Kelty Hearts
31 Oct
Partick
2 : 3
Morton
17 Oct
Morton
2 : 0
Queen's Park
10 Oct
Arbroath
1 : 2
Morton
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
31 Oct
Arbroath
0 : 4
Raith
24 Oct
Raith
0 : 2
Inverness
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1
Raith
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raith 14 7 4 3 20:9 25
2 Partick 13 7 4 2 17:7 25
3 Dunfermline 14 6 7 1 15:7 25
4 Stenhousemuir 13 7 2 4 13:12 23
5 Livingston 13 6 2 5 18:11 20
6 Inverness 13 5 4 4 17:16 19
7 Ayr 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
8 Arbroath 13 3 2 8 7:22 11
9 Morton 12 3 1 8 12:20 10
10 Queen's Park 13 2 1 10 8:22 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)