Sport Picks

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Morton vs Raith

Scotland Scotland

Championship Cappielow Park, Greenock
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morton host Raith in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Raith have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Morton have conceded 1.74 and scored 0.74. Past meetings favor Raith slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Raith. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Morton
15%
Draws
78%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Morton haven't matched Raith's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Raith's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Morton Clean Sheet 17%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Raith
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.74 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Morton
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Raith
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Morton
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Raith
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Morton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 10 / 100
Raith 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Morton scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Morton remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Raith
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
08 Aug
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0
Morton
Page 1 of 6

Raith

(Away)
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 6 5 1 0 10:2 16
2 Raith 6 4 1 1 11:3 13
3 Partick 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
4 Livingston 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Dunfermline 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
8 Inverness 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)