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Morton vs Stranraer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Morton
15%
Draws
85%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Stranraer have won more games recently than Morton.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Stranraer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Morton Clean Sheet 10%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Stranraer
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Morton vs Stranraer
0:0
Jul 18, 2023 League Cup
Morton vs Stranraer
3:0
Jul 10, 2021 League Cup
Stranraer vs Morton
3:0
Apr 25, 2015 League One
Stranraer vs Morton
0:2
Feb 21, 2015 League One
Morton vs Stranraer
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 10 / 100
Stranraer 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stranraer conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Morton's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Stranraer registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Stranraer
0.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
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Stranraer

(Away)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
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