Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morud vs Tarup-Paarup

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sondergaard G.
14' Event
Dongsted M.
17' Event
Sondergaard G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Morud advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Morud
15%
Draws
21%
Tarup-Paarup
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tarup-Paarup carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Tarup-Paarup arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morud, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Morud Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Tarup-Paarup
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.3
Goals Conceded 3.78 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Tarup-Paarup
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morud Compare

Top Goalscorer Sondergaard G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skov M. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tarup-Paarup Compare

Top Goalscorer Dongsted M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plougmand P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 32 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Tarup-Paarup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morud's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tarup-Paarup's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Tarup-Paarup lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Tarup-Paarup
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Aug
Munkebo BK
3 : 2
Morud
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
Page 1 of 2

Tarup-Paarup

(Away)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Christiansbjerg IF 1
Brabrand 3
ASA Aarhus 1
Thisted FC 2
Sonderborg Fremad 1
Boldklubben 1913 7
TBD -
Randers FC -
Svebolle 0
Nykobing 1
ESPM 0
Fremad Amager 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
LKB Gistrup 2
ACFC 3
Ostre 1
Naesby 5
Nerashte Ballerup 0
B 1908 1
Karlslunde 0
Boldklubben 1893 1
Middelfart 1
Odense 0
Gug 0
Hobro 3
Kjellerup 0
Horsens 5
TBD -
Viborg -
Ringsted 1
Bronshoj 2
TBD -
Vejle -
Bagsvaerd 1
BK Frem 6
TBD -
Lyngby -
Gorslev IF 3
Sundby 1
Kastrup 1
Hvidovre IF 2
FC Bih Odense 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 4
Varde 0
Kolding IF 6
Vigerslev 0
Herlev 1
Nordfalster 0
Ishoj IF 6
Solrod FC 4
Nakskov 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Boldklubben 1960 0
Allerod 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Koge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kolding BK 2
Dalum IF 1
Lyseng 0
Vendsyssel FF 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Skjern GF 0
OKS Odense 4
Naestved IF 0
Hillerod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
BBB 1
Give Fremad 2
Aalborg Chang 0
Skive 3
Bornholm 3
Birkerod 2
AB Tarnby 1
Helsingor 3
Odder 0
VSK Aarhus 2
Vatanspor 0
Aarhus Fremad 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
FB 0
AB Copenhagen 4
Jyllinge 0
Holbaek 3
Norresundby 1
Young Boys FD 4
Lemming IF 1
Holstebro 10
LUIF 0
Vanlose 10
Hellerup 0
Roskilde 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Herlufsholm 0
Horsholm-Usserod 4
Gladsaxe 0
Avarta 2
Aalborg Freja 1
Vejgaard 4
Fredericia FF 0
Esbjerg 8
Boldklubben 1909 3
SfB-Oure 1
Ringkobing 1
Fredericia 9
Morud 3
Tarup-Paarup 2
TBD -
Aalborg -
1/32-finals
Brabrand 3
Thisted FC 0
Boldklubben 1913 0
Randers FC 10
Nykobing 2
Fremad Amager 3
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
ACFC 1
Naesby 10
B 1908 1
Boldklubben 1893 4
Middelfart 3
Hobro 2
Horsens 0
Viborg 4
Bronshoj 2
Vejle 1
BK Frem 4
Lyngby 1
Gorslev IF 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Kolding IF 4
Herlev 1
Ishoj IF 4
Solrod FC 0
Sonderjyske 7
Allerod 0
Koge 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kolding BK 1
Vendsyssel FF 2
TBD -
Brondby -
OKS Odense 1
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Give Fremad 0
Skive 5
Bornholm 0
Helsingor 3
VSK Aarhus 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
TBD -
Aarhus -
AB Copenhagen 0
Holbaek 2
Young Boys FD 1
Holstebro 3
Vanlose 1
Roskilde 2
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Avarta 2
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Fredericia 4
Morud 0
Aalborg 7
1/16-finals
Brabrand 1
Randers FC 0
Fremad Amager 0
Nordsjaelland 5
Naesby 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Middelfart 2
Viborg 3
Bronshoj 0
BK Frem 3
Hvidovre IF 1
Kolding IF 2
Ishoj IF 2
Sonderjyske 3
Koge 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Vendsyssel FF 0
Brondby 5
Hillerod 1
Midtjylland 4
Skive 5
Helsingor 0
VSK Aarhus 0
Aarhus 2
Holbaek 2
Holstebro 1
Roskilde 1
Silkeborg 3
Avarta 2
Esbjerg 3
Fredericia 1
Aalborg 4
1/8-finals
Brabrand 2
Nordsjaelland 1
Naesby 1
Viborg 4
BK Frem 0
Kolding IF 2
Sonderjyske 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 1
Midtjylland 0
Skive 2
Aarhus 3
Holbaek 0
Silkeborg 6
Esbjerg 0
Aalborg 2
Quarter-finals
Brabrand 1
Viborg 7
Kolding IF 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Brondby 4
Aarhus 3
Silkeborg 4
Aalborg 3
Semi-finals
Viborg 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 4
Silkeborg 5
Final
FC Copenhagen 3
Silkeborg 0