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Morumbi FC vs Guajara

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 game between Morumbi FC and Guajara finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Morumbi FC
39%
Draws
30%
Guajara
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guajara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Morumbi FC Clean Sheet 20%
Guajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morumbi FC Guajara
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2016 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Morumbi FC
1:0
Mar 26, 2016 Rondoniense
Morumbi FC vs Guajara
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morumbi FC 32 / 100
Guajara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morumbi FC Guajara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Guajara registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guajara let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Morumbi FC scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guajara
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Genus760116:618
2CA Rondoniense752017:417
3Real Ariquemes742110:414
4Ariquemes FC73048:99
5Guajara71338:136
6Ji-Parana71248:145
7Rolim de Moura71247:155
8Morumbi FC70347:163