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Morumbi FC vs Rolim de Moura

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 game between Morumbi FC and Rolim de Moura finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morumbi FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Morumbi FC
6%
Draws
90%
Rolim de Moura
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rolim de Moura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Morumbi FC haven't matched Rolim de Moura's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rolim de Moura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Morumbi FC Clean Sheet 10%
Rolim de Moura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morumbi FC Rolim de Moura
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 4.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 Rondoniense
Morumbi FC vs Rolim de Moura
3:0
Apr 2, 2016 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Morumbi FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morumbi FC 10 / 100
Rolim de Moura 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morumbi FC Rolim de Moura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rolim de Moura has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Rolim de Moura has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Morumbi FC scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morumbi FC VS Rolim de Moura
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morumbi FC

(Home)
08 Jun
Morumbi FC
0 : 5
CA Rondoniense
05 Jun
Real Ariquemes
7 : 0
Morumbi FC
31 May
Genus
6 : 0
Morumbi FC
28 May
Morumbi FC
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura
22 May
Guajara
1 : 0
Morumbi FC
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Rolim de Moura

(Away)
02 Apr
Genus
4 : 1
Rolim de Moura
30 Mar
Rolim de Moura
0 : 1
Porto Velho
22 Mar
Rolim de Moura
2 : 2
Guapore
15 Mar
Barcelona RO
1 : 0
Rolim de Moura
12 Mar
Rolim de Moura
1 : 2
Ji-Parana
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Rondoniense743017:215
2Ji-Parana742114:714
3Genus741219:513
4Guajara74128:913
5Real Ariquemes732214:611
6Morumbi FC72058:256
7Ariquemes FC71246:165
8Rolim de Moura70163:191
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)