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Morupule vs Jwaneng Galaxy

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morupule in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morupule.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Morupule
35%
Draws
25%
Jwaneng Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jwaneng Galaxy average 1.7 goals a game right now, well clear of Morupule's 1.28.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Morupule taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Jwaneng Galaxy Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Jwaneng Galaxy
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule
0:0
May 13, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs Jwaneng Galaxy
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Jwaneng Galaxy
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Morupule
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 49 / 100
Jwaneng Galaxy 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Jwaneng Galaxy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morupule scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Morupule stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jwaneng Galaxy has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Jwaneng Galaxy
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
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Jwaneng Galaxy

(Away)
12 Sept
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 1
Port Louis
04 Sept
Port Louis
1 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
23 May
Township Rollers
1 : 4
Jwaneng Galaxy
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
06 May
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0
Matebele
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)