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Morupule vs Sua Flamingoes

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Morupule and Sua Flamingoes finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Morupule
35%
Draws
38%
Sua Flamingoes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sua Flamingoes come out ahead of Morupule on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sua Flamingoes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Sua Flamingoes
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs Sua Flamingoes
0:0
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Morupule
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Sua Flamingoes
0:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Sua Flamingoes
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Morupule
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 36 / 100
Sua Flamingoes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Sua Flamingoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morupule found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sua Flamingoes has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Morupule went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Sua Flamingoes
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
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Sua Flamingoes

(Away)
19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1
Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonota 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
2 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
4 Nico United 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
5 Tafic FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
7 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
9 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Centre Chiefs 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
11 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Matebele 4 0 0 4 1:6 0
16 Prisons XI Gaborone 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)