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Moss vs Egersund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moss host Egersund in the OBOS-ligaen. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Moss have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded recently, against Egersund's 1.69 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Moss have won 0 to Egersund's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.69) point toward Egersund. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Moss
20%
Draws
36%
Egersund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Moss haven't matched Egersund's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Moss a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Egersund have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Moss Clean Sheet 13%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Egersund
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Moss
3:0
Oct 22, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Moss
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Egersund
2:4
Aug 26, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Moss
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Egersund
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 48 / 100
Egersund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Egersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Egersund let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Moss stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Egersund
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
Page 1 of 6

Egersund

(Away)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)