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Stadium Background

Moss vs Kongsvinger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Fors V.
24' Event
Langrekken L.
53'
Sub
Chaminta A. In: Christiansen R.
Out: Chaminta A.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Moss and Kongsvinger finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Moss
15%
Draws
58%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kongsvinger come out ahead of Moss on wins alone.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Kongsvinger here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Kongsvinger
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.5 3.38
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Kongsvinger
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Moss
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Kongsvinger
2:4
Apr 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Moss
6:0
Dec 1, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Kongsvinger
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Langrekken L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christiansen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 10 / 100
Kongsvinger 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Kongsvinger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Moss has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Kongsvinger
1.63 Goals Scored 5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
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Kongsvinger

(Away)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)