Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moss vs Raufoss

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Zekhnini R.
Assist: Sildnes E.
26'
Musbaudeen J.
31' Event
Laegreid J.

AI Match Summary

Raufoss in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raufoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Moss
15%
Draws
42%
Raufoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Raufoss have won more games recently than Moss.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Moss taking it.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Moss Clean Sheet 12%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Raufoss
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Raufoss
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Raufoss vs Moss
3:3
Nov 8, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Raufoss
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Moss
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Moss vs Raufoss
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Laegreid J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Raufoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Zekhnini R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 83 / 100
Raufoss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Raufoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Raufoss has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Raufoss's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Raufoss
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
Page 1 of 6

Raufoss

(Away)
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)