Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moss vs Sogndal

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kvale W.
Assist: Cassidy M.
36'
Haruna J.
44' Event
Helen O.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Moss and Sogndal finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Moss
15%
Draws
34%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Moss haven't matched Sogndal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Moss's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Sogndal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sogndal
2:2
Jun 14, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Moss
2:4
Aug 23, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Moss
3:1
Jul 30, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sogndal
3:1
Aug 19, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sogndal
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvale W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Semmen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Helen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hovland E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 40 / 100
Sogndal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Sogndal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Sogndal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Sogndal
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
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Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)