Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Emmanuel P.
Penalty Missed
26'
26'
Mijic L.
Penalty Missed
118'
118'
Sani I.
AI Match Summary
Mosta FC in this FA Trophy tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mosta FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mosta FC lately — more wins on the board than Mqabba FC.
- Win probability leans Mosta FC's way, sitting at 40%.
- Mosta FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mosta FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 68%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mosta FC | Mqabba FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Mosta FC vs Mqabba FC
2:1
Dec 1, 2017 FA Trophy
Mosta FC vs Mqabba FC
2:1
Apr 21, 2012 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Mqabba FC
2:2
Mar 19, 2012 Premier League
Mqabba FC vs Mosta FC
1:0
Feb 17, 2012 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Mqabba FC
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mosta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Sani I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Mqabba FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mijic L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mosta FC 50 / 100
Mqabba FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mosta FC Mqabba FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mqabba FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Mosta FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mosta FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mosta FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mosta FC
(Home) 24 Jul
Gzira
1 : 1 Mosta FC
17 Jul
Mosta FC
0 : 4 Birzebbuga
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1 Mosta FC
30 Apr
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Mosta FC
24 Apr
Hibernians
2 : 0 Mosta FC
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Mosta FC
0 : 4 Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Mosta FC
2 : 2 Sliema
15 Apr
Mosta FC
2 : 1 Zabbar
15 Mar
Mosta FC
2 : 1 Hamrun
28 Feb
Mosta FC
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
Page 1 of 3
Mqabba FC
(Away) 04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1 Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0 Mqabba FC
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3 San Gwann
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0 Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1 Mqabba FC
Page 1 of 6
04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1 Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0 Mqabba FC
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0 Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1 Mqabba FC
05 Mar
Marsaskala FC
5 : 0 Mqabba FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghajnsielem-
Pembroke-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Hamrun-
TBD-
Victoria Hotspurs3
Xaghra1
Fgura-
TBD-
Sirens1
Santa Lucia2
Birkirkara-
TBD-
TBD-
Victoria Wanderers-
Pieta-
TBD-
TBD-
Mtarfa-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk-
Zabbar-
TBD-
Melita0
Xewkija1
St. Andrews3
Vittoriosa0
TBD-
Gzira-
Hibernians-
TBD-
TBD-
Gudja-
Zebbug0
Qala Saints5
TBD-
Mgarr-
Mosta FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Mqabba FC-
Zurrieq-
TBD-
TBD-
Kercem Ajax-
Qormi1
Balzan FC4
Nadur1
Birzebbuga4
Sliema-
TBD-
TBD-
Swieqi-
Marsa-
TBD-
TBD-
Naxxar Lions-
1/16-finals
Tarxien4
Ghajnsielem0
Pembroke0
Valletta1
Hamrun5
Victoria Hotspurs0
Fgura2
Santa Lucia1
Birkirkara3
Victoria Wanderers1
Pieta5
Mtarfa0
Floriana1
Marsaxlokk0
Zabbar1
Xewkija0
St. Andrews0
Gzira2
Hibernians3
Gudja1
Qala Saints0
Mgarr2
Mosta FC2
Mqabba FC1
Zurrieq4
Kercem Ajax0
Balzan FC1
Birzebbuga2
Sliema1
Swieqi2
Marsa0
Naxxar Lions3
1/8-finals
Tarxien0
Valletta1
Hamrun5
Fgura0
Birkirkara2
Pieta0
Floriana0
Zabbar1
Gzira3
Hibernians2
Mgarr0
Mosta FC3
Zurrieq3
Birzebbuga0
Swieqi2
Naxxar Lions4
Quarter-finals
Valletta3
Hamrun1
Birkirkara2
Zabbar1
Gzira2
Mosta FC1
Zurrieq1
Naxxar Lions2
Semi-finals
Valletta3
Birkirkara1
Gzira2
Naxxar Lions1
Final
Valletta2
Gzira1
