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Stadium Background

Mosta FC vs San Gwann

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2022/2023 Charles Abela Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Chidera O. M.
33' Event
Dore F.
35'
Kingue S.

AI Match Summary

The FA Trophy 2022/2023 game between Mosta FC and San Gwann finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mosta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mosta FC
40%
Draws
29%
San Gwann
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mosta FC's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what San Gwann have produced (0).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Cup games in FA Trophy 2022/2023 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mosta FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 17%
San Gwann Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mosta FC San Gwann
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 FA Trophy
Mosta FC vs San Gwann
5:0
Feb 20, 2010 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Mosta FC
0:1
Nov 21, 2009 Challenge League
Mosta FC vs San Gwann
2:1
Mar 14, 2009 Challenge League
Mosta FC vs San Gwann
2:1
Nov 29, 2008 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Mosta FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mosta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dore F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chidera O. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

San Gwann Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mosta FC 31 / 100
San Gwann 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mosta FC San Gwann

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Gwann has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Mosta FC scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Mosta FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mosta FC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Balzan FC-
TBD-
Kalkara0
Tarxien2
Birkirkara-
TBD-
Nadur7
Vittoriosa1
Valletta-
TBD-
St. Andrews0
Zabbar4
Hamrun-
TBD-
Ghajnsielem5
Qrendi0
Marsa2
Melita3
TBD-
Mosta FC-
Swieqi3
Fgura0
TBD-
Zebbug-
Pieta-
TBD-
Xewkija2
Lija0
San Gwann-
TBD-
TBD-
Mgarr-
Hibernians-
TBD-
TBD-
Zurrieq-
Attard3
Birzebbuga2
Kercem Ajax3
Marsaskala FC2
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Santa Lucia-
Zejtun-
TBD-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk-
Gzira-
TBD-
TBD-
Sliema-
Mtarfa-
TBD-
Sannat Lions1
Qala Saints3
Gudja-
TBD-
Naxxar Lions5
Oratory1
Sirens-
TBD-
Mqabba FC3
Victoria Hotspurs2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC4
Tarxien0
Birkirkara4
Nadur0
Valletta5
Zabbar1
Hamrun3
Ghajnsielem1
Melita0
Mosta FC3
Swieqi1
Zebbug0
Pieta2
Xewkija0
San Gwann3
Mgarr1
Hibernians3
Zurrieq1
Attard2
Kercem Ajax8
Floriana0
Santa Lucia1
Zejtun0
Marsaxlokk5
Gzira2
Sliema0
Mtarfa1
Qala Saints2
Gudja2
Naxxar Lions1
Sirens1
Mqabba FC0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC2
Birkirkara3
Valletta1
Hamrun2
Mosta FC2
Swieqi1
Pieta0
San Gwann2
Hibernians8
Kercem Ajax0
Santa Lucia0
Marsaxlokk2
Gzira3
Qala Saints0
Gudja1
Sirens0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara1
Hamrun0
Mosta FC5
San Gwann0
Hibernians0
Marsaxlokk1
Gzira2
Gudja1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara4
Mosta FC3
Marsaxlokk2
Gzira1
Final
Birkirkara2
Marsaxlokk0