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Mosta FC vs Tarxien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Mosta FC Logo

Mosta FC

0 - 1
FT
Tarxien Logo

Tarxien

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kozic A.
17' Event
da Silva Dias J. V.
Own Goal
44' Event
Leo Fernandes
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Mosta FC and Tarxien finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarxien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mosta FC
15%
Draws
46%
Tarxien
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mosta FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 16%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mosta FC Tarxien
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Tarxien vs Mosta FC
2:2
Feb 18, 2026 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Tarxien
0:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Tarxien
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Tarxien vs Mosta FC
0:1
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Mosta FC vs Tarxien
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mosta FC 31 / 100
Tarxien 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mosta FC Tarxien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarxien let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Mosta FC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mosta FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mosta FC VS Tarxien
0.88 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Mosta FC

(Home)
13 Sept
Mosta FC
1 : 3
Sliema
05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1
Mosta FC
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
23 Aug
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Balzan FC
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2
Mosta FC
Page 1 of 7

Tarxien

(Away)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3
Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0
Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3
Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floriana 11 7 4 0 20:7 25
2 Hamrun 11 6 4 1 16:4 22
3 Marsaxlokk 11 5 4 2 12:12 19
4 Naxxar Lions 11 5 3 3 20:18 18
5 Valletta 11 4 5 2 16:7 17
6 Gzira 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
7 Sliema 11 4 4 3 10:11 16
8 Birkirkara 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
9 Hibernians 11 3 2 6 11:17 11
10 Zabbar 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
11 Tarxien 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
12 Mosta FC 11 1 1 9 7:24 4
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Play Out)