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Mosta FC vs Zabbar

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Leo Fernandes
45' Event
Emmanuel P.
45'
Figueiredo B.

AI Match Summary

Mosta FC in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mosta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mosta FC
30%
Draws
23%
Zabbar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mosta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mosta FC have won more games recently than Zabbar.
  • Mosta FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 20%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mosta FC Zabbar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Zabbar
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Zabbar vs Mosta FC
5:3
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Zabbar
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Zabbar
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Mosta FC vs Zabbar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mosta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanuel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zabbar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mosta FC 58 / 100
Zabbar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mosta FC Zabbar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mosta FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mosta FC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Zabbar has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Mosta FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mosta FC VS Zabbar
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mosta FC

(Home)
13 Sept
Mosta FC
1 : 3
Sliema
05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1
Mosta FC
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
23 Aug
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Balzan FC
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2
Mosta FC
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Zabbar

(Away)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
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