Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mostaganem vs El Bayadh

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 Stade Belhamiti Larbi, Mostaganem
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Namani A.
8' Event
Chelali A.
14'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mostaganem
6%
Draws
90%
El Bayadh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: El Bayadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mostaganem have won more games recently than El Bayadh.
  • Model gives El Bayadh a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem El Bayadh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs El Bayadh
2:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Mostaganem
1:0
May 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs El Bayadh
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Mostaganem
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mostaganem Compare

Top Goalscorer Namani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Zina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

El Bayadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Chelali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaiche I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 10 / 100
El Bayadh 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem El Bayadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Bayadh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

El Bayadh's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mostaganem found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS El Bayadh
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

El Bayadh

(Away)
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
09 Apr
MC Alger
3 : 0
El Bayadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Alger30205541:1865
2Saoura30167740:2655
3CR Belouizdad301411547:2453
4Oran30147936:3149
5Kabylie301112740:3145
6Olympique Akbou30129934:3145
7Khenchela301281037:3744
8ES Ben Aknoun301110941:3943
9Constantine301110935:3043
10USM Alger30815734:2939
11ES Setif301091133:3639
12Rouisset30991230:3536
13ASO Chlef30971426:3134
14Paradou30732035:5424
15Mostaganem30471918:5219
16El Bayadh302111717:4017
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)