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Mostaganem vs GC Mascara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mostaganem host GC Mascara in the Ligue 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. GC Mascara have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Mostaganem have conceded 1.9 and scored 0.72. Past meetings favor Mostaganem slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.88 - 2.13) back GC Mascara to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mostaganem
35%
Draws
35%
GC Mascara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GC Mascara lately — more wins on the board than Mostaganem.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mostaganem here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
GC Mascara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem GC Mascara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.72 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Ligue 2
GC Mascara vs Mostaganem
1:2
Jan 28, 2024 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs GC Mascara
2:0
May 6, 2023 Ligue 2
GC Mascara vs Mostaganem
1:2
Dec 27, 2022 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs GC Mascara
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 30 / 100
GC Mascara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem GC Mascara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GC Mascara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GC Mascara has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Mostaganem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mostaganem scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS GC Mascara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
03 Oct
Sidi Benali
2 : 2
Mostaganem
26 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Hussein Dey
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
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GC Mascara

(Away)
03 Oct
GC Mascara
1 : 1
USM Blida
26 Sept
El Bayadh
0 : 0
GC Mascara
19 Sept
GC Mascara
3 : 0
Arba
08 May
RC Kouba
2 : 0
GC Mascara
01 May
GC Mascara
1 : 1
Harrach
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annaba 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Skikda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Magra 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
4 Azazga 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 MO Constantine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 MSP Batna 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Khroub 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 MO Bejaia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Paradou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Beni Oulbane 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 IRB Nezla 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 US Chaouia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 JS Djijel 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Telaghema 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
15 CA Batna 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Beni Thour 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Kouba 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Harrach 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 USM Blida 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 Saida 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 GC Mascara 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 WA Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Sidi Benali 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
9 ASM Oran 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
10 Hussein Dey 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
11 Tlemcen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Kolea 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
13 El Bayadh 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
14 JSM Tiaret 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
15 Arba 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Taghit 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)