Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mostaganem vs Olympique Akbou

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Belhamiti Larbi Complex, Mostaganem
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Gaagaa A.
35'
Sub
Bengrina M. In: Toumi M.
Out: Bengrina M.
41'
Zamoum W.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mostaganem and Olympique Akbou finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mostaganem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mostaganem
35%
Draws
32%
Olympique Akbou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Olympique Akbou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olympique Akbou a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
Olympique Akbou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem Olympique Akbou
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Olympique Akbou
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs Mostaganem
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Olympique Akbou
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs Mostaganem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mostaganem Compare

Top Goalscorer Motrani Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Olympique Akbou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 10 / 100
Olympique Akbou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem Olympique Akbou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympique Akbou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olympique Akbou conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Olympique Akbou has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mostaganem scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS Olympique Akbou
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3
Khenchela
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Olympique Akbou

(Away)
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
19 May
USM Alger
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
08 May
Olympique Akbou
0 : 1
CR Belouizdad
28 Apr
MC Alger
2 : 1
Olympique Akbou
22 Apr
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
Kabylie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)