Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Akacem R.
80'
80'
Allaoui K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saoura
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saoura have won more games recently than Mostaganem.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Saoura arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Saoura, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
Saoura Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mostaganem | Saoura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Saoura
0:4
Jan 15, 2026 Algeria Cup
Mostaganem vs Saoura
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Mostaganem
3:2
May 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Mostaganem
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Saoura
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mostaganem Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Saoura Compare
Top Goalscorer Akacem R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Allaoui K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mostaganem 34 / 100
Saoura 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mostaganem Saoura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saoura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Mostaganem's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Saoura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.
Mostaganem went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mostaganem VS Saoura
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mostaganem
(Home) 19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2 USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2 El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4 Saoura
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2 USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2 El Bayadh
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4 Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3 Khenchela
17 Mar
Mostaganem
3 : 2 Paradou
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Saoura
(Away) 22 Sept
Biskra
0 : 0 Saoura
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0 Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0 Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 Saoura
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22 Sept
Biskra
0 : 0 Saoura
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0 Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 Saoura
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1 Saoura
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1
