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Mostaganem vs Widad Adabi de Boufarik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between Mostaganem and Widad Adabi de Boufarik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mostaganem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mostaganem
30%
Draws
41%
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Widad Adabi de Boufarik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Widad Adabi de Boufarik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mostaganem a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 17%
Widad Adabi de Boufarik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostaganem Widad Adabi de Boufarik
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.81 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Widad Adabi de Boufarik
1:0
Jan 5, 2024 Ligue 2
Widad Adabi de Boufarik vs Mostaganem
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Ligue 2
Widad Adabi de Boufarik vs Mostaganem
1:1
Sep 30, 2022 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Widad Adabi de Boufarik
2:0
Feb 25, 2005 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Widad Adabi de Boufarik
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostaganem 36 / 100
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostaganem Widad Adabi de Boufarik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Widad Adabi de Boufarik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Mostaganem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mostaganem scored in 47% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mostaganem VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostaganem

(Home)
03 Oct
Sidi Benali
2 : 2
Mostaganem
26 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Hussein Dey
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
Page 1 of 7

Widad Adabi de Boufarik

(Away)
11 Dec
Bejaia
4 : 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
04 Dec
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
3 : 0
Naama
01 Jun
ASM Oran
2 : 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
28 May
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
2 : 1
RC Kouba
24 May
SC Mecheria
1 : 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique Akbou 30 22 4 4 59:19 70
2 MSP Batna 30 18 7 5 46:22 61
3 Bordj Menail 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
4 CA Batna 30 10 13 7 26:22 43
5 MO Constantine 30 11 9 10 32:36 42
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 8 11 28:26 41
7 Harrach 30 12 5 13 35:34 41
8 Ouargla 30 11 8 11 23:32 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 6 13 33:31 39
10 Olympique Magrane 30 11 6 13 28:37 39
11 Khroub 30 9 11 10 35:28 38
12 Annaba 30 8 14 8 33:28 38
13 Telaghema 30 12 2 16 40:41 38
14 Mlila 30 10 7 13 28:34 37
15 Ghozlane 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
16 Eulma 30 3 7 20 17:57 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mostaganem 30 23 6 1 60:11 75
2 RC Kouba 30 19 7 4 38:17 64
3 WA Mostaganem 30 16 8 6 59:29 56
4 CR Temouchent 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 GC Mascara 30 13 5 12 31:34 43
6 Kolea 30 12 5 13 38:35 41
7 JSM Tiaret 30 10 10 10 31:33 40
8 SC Mecheria 30 10 8 12 41:40 38
9 Hussein Dey 30 11 6 13 24:30 38
10 Oued Sly 30 11 5 14 27:35 38
11 Arba 30 11 5 14 37:47 38
12 El Khemis 30 11 4 15 42:41 37
13 ASM Oran 30 10 9 11 39:42 37
14 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 9 9 12 33:36 36
15 Medea 30 3 8 19 26:57 15
16 Guir Abadla 30 4 4 22 31:79 15
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)