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Mostoles CF vs Marchamalo

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2020/2021
Wed, Nov 11, 2020
0 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Marchamalo in this Copa del Rey 2020/2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mostoles CF
15%
Draws
53%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Marchamalo have won more games recently than Mostoles CF.
  • Model gives Marchamalo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Marchamalo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marchamalo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 23%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostoles CF Marchamalo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2020 Copa del Rey
Mostoles CF vs Marchamalo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostoles CF 10 / 100
Marchamalo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostoles CF Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marchamalo conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Mostoles CF scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Mostoles CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marchamalo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostoles CF

(Home)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 6

Marchamalo

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorca Deportiva -
L Hospitalet -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Dep. A Coruna -
TBD -
TBD -
Ejido -
Rusadir 1
Rincon 2
TBD -
Alaves -
Burgos CF -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Andorra -
Som Maresme -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
Olot -
Tomares UD 3
Chinato 0
TBD -
Osasuna -
Extremadura UD -
TBD -
TBD -
Socuellamos -
Ourense CF -
TBD -
TBD -
Leganes -
DUX Internacional de Madrid -
TBD -
TBD -
Linares -
Ciudad de Lucena -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Lealtad -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcorcon -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeclano -
Terrassa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valencia -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Badajoz -
Varea -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Palmas -
CD Las Rozas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Racing Rioja 3
Colegios Diocesanos 0
TBD -
Eibar -
Coruxo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Malaga -
CD Coria -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Leonesa -
TBD -
TBD -
Villanovense -
AD San Juan -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Haro Deportivo -
TBD -
TBD -
Linense -
Teruel -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
CD Calahorra -
TBD -
TBD -
La Nucia -
UD Guia 0
CD Bunol 1
TBD -
Elche -
CD Marino -
TBD -
TBD -
Cornella -
Cardassar 1
Epila 0
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
Amorebieta -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Logrones -
Quintanar del Rey -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
Mutilvera -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Santander -
UCAM Murcia -
TBD -
TBD -
Betis -
Cordoba -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Real Titanico 0
Anaitasuna FT 2
TBD -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Alcoyano -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Laredo -
Mostoles CF 0
Marchamalo 1
TBD -
Huesca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
UD Ibiza -
TBD -
TBD -
Compostela -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Pena Deportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarazona -
SD Ibiza -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabadell -
Marbella -
TBD -
TBD -
Lleida -
Montanesa 0
CD Cantolagua 1
TBD -
Valladolid -
Baleares -
TBD -
TBD -
CF Fuenlabrada -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Mallorca -
Portugalete -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
AUGC Deportiva Ceuta 0
Racing Murcia 3
TBD -
Levante -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Girona -
CA Pulpileno -
TBD -
TBD -
Lugo -
Pontevedra -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Miengo 0
Ribadumia 1
TBD -
Cadiz -
CD San Fernando -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
Sestao -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Zamora -
TBD -
TBD -
SD Logrones -
Leioa -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
1/64-finals
Numancia 4
Lorca Deportiva 1
L Hospitalet 1
Almeria 4
Dep. A Coruna 1
Ejido 0
Rincon 0
Alaves 2
Burgos CF 2
FC Andorra 0
Som Maresme 0
Espanyol 1
UD Poblense 1
Olot 2
Tomares UD 0
Osasuna 6
Extremadura UD 1
Socuellamos 2
Ourense CF 0
Leganes 1
DUX Internacional de Madrid 0
Linares 3
Ciudad de Lucena 0
Sevilla 3
Lealtad 1
Alcorcon 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 0
Zaragoza 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
Yeclano 2
Terrassa 2
Valencia 4
Navalcarnero 1
CD Badajoz 0
Varea 0
Las Palmas 4
CD Las Rozas 1
Mirandes 0
Racing Rioja 0
Eibar 2
Coruxo FC 0
Malaga 4
CD Coria 2
Real Oviedo 3
Leonesa 1
Villanovense 0
AD San Juan 0
Granada CF 2
Haro Deportivo 2
Linense 1
Teruel 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
CD Calahorra 0
La Nucia 1
CD Bunol 1
Elche 2
CD Marino 0
Cornella 1
Cardassar 0
Atl. Madrid 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
Amorebieta 1
UD Logrones 0
Quintanar del Rey 1
Gijon 2
Mutilvera 1
Racing Santander 0
UCAM Murcia 0
Betis 2
Cordoba 1
Albacete 0
Anaitasuna FT 1
Getafe 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Alcoyano 4
CD Laredo 1
Marchamalo 2
Huesca 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
UD Ibiza 2
Compostela 1
Llanera 0
Celta Vigo 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Pena Deportiva 4
Tarazona 1
SD Ibiza 0
Sabadell 2
Marbella 1
Lleida 0
CD Cantolagua 0
Valladolid 5
Baleares 0
CF Fuenlabrada 1
Guijuelo 0
Mallorca 1
Portugalete 1
Ponferradina 0
Racing Murcia 0
Levante 5
Gimnastica Segoviana 0
Girona 2
CA Pulpileno 1
Lugo 2
Pontevedra 2
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Ribadumia 0
Cadiz 2
CD San Fernando 0
Castellon 2
Sestao 0
Tenerife 2
Zamora 2
SD Logrones 1
Leioa 0
Villarreal 6
1/32-finals
Numancia 1
Almeria 2
Dep. A Coruna 0
Alaves 1
Burgos CF 0
Espanyol 2
Olot 0
Osasuna 3
Socuellamos 0
Leganes 2
Linares 0
Sevilla 2
Alcorcon 2
Zaragoza 1
Yeclano 1
Valencia 4
Navalcarnero 1
Las Palmas 0
CD Las Rozas 3
Eibar 4
Malaga 1
Real Oviedo 0
Leonesa 1
Granada CF 2
Haro Deportivo 1
Rayo Vallecano 3
La Nucia 0
Elche 1
Cornella 1
Atl. Madrid 0
TBD -
Barcelona -
Amorebieta 0
Gijon 1
Mutilvera 1
Betis 3
Cordoba 1
Getafe 0
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Alcoyano 2
Huesca 1
TBD -
Real Madrid -
UD Ibiza 5
Celta Vigo 2
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Pena Deportiva 1
Sabadell 0
Marbella 2
Valladolid 3
CF Fuenlabrada 3
Mallorca 2
Portugalete 1
Levante 2
Girona 2
Lugo 1
Pontevedra 0
Cadiz 1
Castellon 0
Tenerife 2
Zamora 1
Villarreal 4
1/16-finals
Almeria 5
Alaves 0
Espanyol 0
Osasuna 2
Leganes 0
Sevilla 1
Alcorcon 0
Valencia 2
Navalcarnero 3
Eibar 1
Malaga 1
Granada CF 2
Rayo Vallecano 2
Elche 0
Cornella 0
Barcelona 2
Gijon 0
Betis 2
Cordoba 0
Real Sociedad 2
Alcoyano 2
Real Madrid 1
UD Ibiza 1
Ath Bilbao 2
Pena Deportiva 1
Valladolid 4
CF Fuenlabrada 1
Levante 2
Girona 2
Cadiz 0
Tenerife 0
Villarreal 1
1/8-finals
Almeria 1
Osasuna 0
Sevilla 3
Valencia 0
Navalcarnero 0
Granada CF 6
Rayo Vallecano 1
Barcelona 2
Betis 3
Real Sociedad 1
Alcoyano 1
Ath Bilbao 2
Valladolid 2
Levante 4
Girona 0
Villarreal 1
Quarter-finals
Almeria 0
Sevilla 1
Granada CF 3
Barcelona 5
Betis 1
Ath Bilbao 2
Levante 1
Villarreal 0
Semi-finals
Sevilla 2
Barcelona 3
Ath Bilbao 3
Levante 2
Final
Barcelona 4
Ath Bilbao 0