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Mostoles CF vs Parla

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Mostoles CF Logo

Mostoles CF

4 - 3
FT
Parla Logo

Parla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mostoles CF in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mostoles CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mostoles CF
15%
Draws
12%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mostoles CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Parla at 0.94 per game, Mostoles CF at 0.73.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Mostoles CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 20%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostoles CF Parla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.73 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Parla
4:3
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Mostoles CF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostoles CF 85 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostoles CF Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mostoles CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Parla conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Parla's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mostoles CF's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostoles CF

(Home)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Adarve 22 13 5 4 41:17 44
2 Moratalaz 22 11 7 4 36:20 40
3 Rayo Vallecano B 22 10 8 4 35:27 38
4 Pozuelo de Alarcon 22 11 5 6 33:20 38
5 Flat Earth FC 22 9 6 7 19:18 33
6 AD Torrejon 22 7 11 4 32:17 32
7 AD Alcala 22 8 6 8 22:22 30
8 RSD Alcala 22 6 10 6 20:16 28
9 Paracuellos Antamira 22 6 8 8 18:27 26
10 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 22 5 4 13 14:28 19
11 San Fernando de Henares 22 4 6 12 18:36 18
12 Santa Ana 22 2 4 16 11:51 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leganes B 20 15 5 0 34:12 50
2 CD Mostoles 20 13 5 2 28:11 44
3 Alcorcon B 20 9 7 4 32:15 34
4 Parla 20 7 7 6 20:20 28
5 Carabanchel 20 5 9 6 18:20 24
6 Atletico Pinto 20 7 3 10 20:30 24
7 Trival Valderas 20 5 8 7 15:21 23
8 Villaverde San Andres 20 6 3 11 18:29 21
9 El Alamo 20 3 7 10 24:33 16
10 Mostoles CF 20 3 6 11 15:26 15
11 Real Aranjuez 20 3 6 11 19:32 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)