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Mostoles CF vs San Fernando de Henares

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between Mostoles CF and San Fernando de Henares finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Fernando de Henares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mostoles CF
6%
Draws
90%
San Fernando de Henares
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Fernando de Henares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Fernando de Henares come out ahead of Mostoles CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Fernando de Henares a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 23%
San Fernando de Henares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostoles CF San Fernando de Henares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs San Fernando de Henares
0:3
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Fernando de Henares vs Mostoles CF
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostoles CF 10 / 100
San Fernando de Henares 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostoles CF San Fernando de Henares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Fernando de Henares let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mostoles CF found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Mostoles CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mostoles CF VS San Fernando de Henares
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%