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Mostoles CF vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between Mostoles CF and Villanueva del Pardillo CF finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villanueva del Pardillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mostoles CF
15%
Draws
12%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mostoles CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villanueva del Pardillo CF come out ahead of Mostoles CF on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mostoles CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 20%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostoles CF Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Mostoles CF
4:0
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostoles CF 36 / 100
Villanueva del Pardillo CF 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostoles CF Villanueva del Pardillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Villanueva del Pardillo CF has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mostoles CF's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostoles CF

(Home)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
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Villanueva del Pardillo CF

(Away)
12 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 2
Tres Cantos
05 May
Canillas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
01 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
28 Apr
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
21 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
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