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Motala vs Ahlafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Adam A.
45' Event
Own Goal
55' Event
Qasem K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Motala and Ahlafors finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Motala
20%
Draws
51%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahlafors come out ahead of Motala on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ahlafors's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Ahlafors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.41 2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Ahlafors
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Motala
3:3
May 11, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Ahlafors
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Ahlafors
5:0
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Motala
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Adam A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qasem K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Strandahl N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 22 / 100
Ahlafors 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Motala's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ahlafors has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Motala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motala VS Ahlafors
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motala

(Home)
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
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Ahlafors

(Away)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)