Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motala vs Herrestads AIF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mocio J. W.
50' Event
Grahn E.
80' Event
Abdimalik I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Motala and Herrestads AIF finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Motala
30%
Draws
41%
Herrestads AIF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Herrestads AIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Herrestads AIF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Motala are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Motala Clean Sheet 11%
Herrestads AIF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Herrestads AIF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Herrestads AIF
4:0
Jun 7, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Motala
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Motala
2:2
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Herrestads AIF
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Herrestads AIF
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mocio J. W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grahn E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Herrestads AIF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 56 / 100
Herrestads AIF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Herrestads AIF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motala found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Herrestads AIF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Motala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motala VS Herrestads AIF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motala

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
Page 1 of 6

Herrestads AIF

(Away)
05 Oct
Herrestads AIF
3 : 1
Grebbestad
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
13 Sept
Lidkoping
2 : 1
Herrestads AIF
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)